If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your money from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways talk about timing. The sooner the price appears the more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has recently become a big earner for them. They should do this since they are only too conscious of the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder in this market and will exploit any snippets of news which could provide them with an advantage. They advertise heavily inside the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler working for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a very high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are able to have a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This can be clearly great news for the arb maker. This means that the utmost bets they are going to accept on the bet are many higher.
There are numerous kinds of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This can be divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. There are the very first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so forth. In fact anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, there are a lot of outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers because the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions with this sport. They will price the sport in their own individual country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers committed to the game. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This really is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their countries these are relying on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to have patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the house team get talked up and the odds might get skewed inside their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers present an early price, they will often advertise it within the national papers and in general stick with it. This means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt cash in their direction by providing different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be around for a large amount of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But bear in mind they may be ‘guessing’ what the odds ought to be just like you together with me. These are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong and other firms can require a totally different look at the outcome of any game. A totally different view will only result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be enough to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are included in a variety of bookmakers all over Europe. This may however add a complication. Although quite easy to find arbs, the mere fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will get spotted from the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You have to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure area of betting and if someone was to check your bank account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it might ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different form of sport and events as you can so that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as much different sports are ideal for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are more unlikely to attract focus on you together with the utmost bets is going to be higher.
As before you cannot control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your account. The point here is that not so many people are interested in the lower European divisions plus it may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and then he will be the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned approximately play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play on the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can serve as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations also have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all simultaneously, only one by one so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The newest cost is the one that wont change the previous cost is one that is about to and so may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are more inclined to show up.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total number of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others did not. This may affect the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points for a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity in between the teams in which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet is not going to figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to find information being issued which will affect the total bookings bet. But an easy bit of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The final outcome is not really to expect too much sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the percentages.